You ever get the feeling you know something's blatantly wrong, but you just don't what it is? If not, you need to try eating some Fruit Roll Ups. Meanwhile, that picture is wrong. Please allow me to devour your children's toes.
There are 51 Republican counties (I believe those thangs are counties). There are 16 Democratic counties. Initiate super probability skills! If we assume hurricanes are completely random, then the chance of a hurricane hitting a Democratic county is 23.8805%. Therefore, the chance of a hurricane not hitting a Democratic county is 76.1195%.
More numbers: Charley hit 14 counties. Frances hit 11. Ivan, being a prick, hit one. I'll include Ivan in this average, even though it's an outlier, because Florida's panhandle is pretty wide. Averaging all three, we arrive at the fact that an average hurricane that chooses to hit Florida hits about 8.6667 counties.
Pretend a Florida-bound hurricane picks counties are random, even though, in actuality, it goes in a path. What are the chances of it not picking any Democratic counties? .761195^8.667, which happens to be 9.3596%. 9.3%? Gosh, that's an awful lower percentage. If not a true Act of God Who Happens to Be Very Interested in Us Silly Humans, it's at least a highly unusual occurrence. How will I end my argument? Am I carrying your baby? Found out come next season.
Since hurricanes do travel in paths, this probability is inaccurate. Doing an intricate model is beyond my probability skills. So let's assume another assumption. A hurricane hitting a political county is likely to hit counties near it (basically, hurricanes travels in paths, except a highly simplified model). This poses a problem of counties being interspersed. But, thankfully, politicians like to draw county lines to separate political groups. Isn't corruption of the democratic process cool?
There are five Democratic groups of counties. This is a rough estimate because this is a rough author who doesn't care to make this oversimplistic model any more accurate. There are about six or seven Republican groups of counties. I'll go with seven, because hurricanes don't really travel horizontally across the Panhandle. If you know of one, go away. Chance of a hurricane hitting a Democratic group: 41.6667%. Chance of a hurricane hitting a Republican group: 58.3333%. Error margin and all, the Democratic group estimate is a bit high for our purposes, since Republican groups of counties is larger than Democrats. But error margins are for pansies. Average number of groups of counties a hurricane hits (with Ivan, for the same reason above): 2.3333%. Chance of a hurricane not hitting any Democratic groups: 12.9674%.
So a good probability interval for a hurricane not hitting any Democratic counties? (9.3%, 13%). For three hurricanes to not hit any Democratic counties? Nil. So what have I proved? That I'm wrong.